Planning the Sunshine Coast's Growth: How One of Australia's Fastest-Growing Regions Manages Its Future
There is a particular kind of difficulty that comes with being somewhere people want to live. The Sunshine Coast has navigated this difficulty for decades — absorbing wave after wave of migration from Brisbane, interstate, and beyond — but the scale of what is now underway is of a different order entirely. The estimated population of the Sunshine Coast in 2024 was approximately 374,300 residents. The State Government forecasts the population will grow to 565,700 residents by 2046 under ShapingSEQ — the South East Queensland Regional Plan 2023. That is nearly another city’s worth of people arriving over two decades, and they will arrive into a region that has always defined itself, at least partly, by what it is not: not dense, not vertical, not indifferent to landscape and coast and sky.
How a region manages that kind of growth — where it chooses to concentrate it, what it protects from it, how it re-imagines the infrastructure of daily life to absorb it — is one of the more consequential acts of civic governance in contemporary Queensland. The decisions being made across planning tables on the Sunshine Coast right now will shape the lived experience of hundreds of thousands of people across the remainder of this century. They will determine whether the region emerges from this period of rapid expansion as a more coherent, more liveable, more equitably structured place, or whether growth is simply appended to the existing fabric until the fabric frays.
This article addresses that planning dimension directly. Other articles in this series cover the Sunshine Coast’s economic transformation, its health and education infrastructure, its hinterland identity, and its relationship to Brisbane 2032. What this piece examines is the civic machinery of growth management itself: the planning instruments, the spatial strategies, the infrastructure commitments, the environmental constraints, and the hard negotiations between community values and development demands that constitute the work of governing a fast-growing region.
A REGION IN ACCELERATING TRANSITION.
The Sunshine Coast’s growth is not a new phenomenon, but its current intensity is. The population grew by over 79,000 people between 2011 and 2021, and is forecast to grow to over 500,000 people by 2041. That rate of growth places the region among the fastest-expanding local government areas in the country, and the infrastructure demands it generates — for housing, transport, water, health services, and open space — are not modest.
The planning response to this growth is embedded in a layered architecture of strategy documents, regional plans, and local schemes that together set the rules for how and where development can occur. At the highest level, the Queensland Government’s ShapingSEQ Regional Plan 2023 sets population and housing targets for the entire South East Queensland region, which the Sunshine Coast must plan to accommodate. Under ShapingSEQ 2023, Sunshine Coast Council must plan for an additional 84,800 dwellings from 2021, to accommodate a total of 232,000 dwellings by 2046 on the Sunshine Coast. This is not a projection but a planning obligation — a floor below which the region cannot simply decline to build on the grounds of preference or character.
ShapingSEQ 2023 also sets dwelling supply benchmarks, aiming for 60% of total dwellings to be provided in existing urban areas via consolidation, with the remaining 40% in new urban expansion areas, while moving towards a longer-term ratio of 70% consolidation and 30% expansion. In plain terms: more than half of the new homes the Sunshine Coast must build are expected to be delivered within the existing urban footprint, through infill development and increased density, rather than through the outward expansion of urban boundaries that characterised earlier growth phases. This shift is significant, and it is contested.
THE NEW PLANNING SCHEME AND ITS TENSIONS.
At the January 2021 Ordinary Meeting of the Sunshine Coast Regional Council, a motion to commence the preparation of a new planning scheme was debated and carried. What followed was a years-long process of community consultation, state government review, and revision that reflects just how difficult it is to translate regional planning imperatives into local land use rules in a community where the character of place is deeply felt.
A draft plan was submitted to the Queensland State Government in 2023 for State Interest Review. The State Government completed its review in February 2025 and confirmed that Council could proceed to formal public consultation on the proposed planning scheme, subject to eleven conditions. The proposed planning scheme and proposed planning scheme policies were subject to public consultation from Tuesday, 15 July to Friday, 19 September 2025.
The community response to that consultation process was substantial. Around one in five residents visited Council’s Have Your Say website; more than 2,200 people attended engagement events including 23 information sessions and 3 community forums; and Council received around 4,600 formal submissions. Given the volume of feedback received, the review process was expected to continue well into 2026 to ensure every submission was properly considered.
The purpose of the proposed planning scheme is to set out a future land use planning vision and strategic outcomes for the Sunshine Coast Region, and identify assessment provisions such as zones, overlays and codes to regulate development in a manner that helps achieve those outcomes. But embedded within that administrative description is a genuine set of civic tensions. Community feedback from earlier rounds of consultation made clear that residents did not support proposed densification along the mass transit corridor, delivering a strong message about concerns over building heights, increasing densities, and maintaining the character and feel of existing neighbourhoods.
The State Government’s feedback on the draft scheme noted insufficient uplift of residential zones in high-amenity areas and in proximity to regional activity centres, and Council advised the State that there was a severe shortage of medium and high-rise builders on the Sunshine Coast to meet the consolidation outcomes sought by the SEQ Regional Plan. The collision between the State’s housing supply obligations and the community’s attachment to low-scale coastal living is one of the defining frictions of planning on the Sunshine Coast, and the proposed scheme sits squarely at its centre.
WHERE THE GROWTH GOES: CONSOLIDATION, EXPANSION, AND THE COASTAL CORRIDOR.
Consolidation areas are identified around the mixed-use activity centres of Maroochydore, Mooloolaba, Kawana, Caloundra and Sippy Downs, and in other identified nodes within the Maroochydore to Caloundra Coastal Corridor. This makes spatial sense: the coastal corridor between Maroochydore and Caloundra already contains the Sunshine Coast’s greatest concentration of population, employment, and services, and locating new housing close to existing infrastructure is a principle of sustainable planning that is difficult to argue against in theory.
The expansion areas — the greenfield lands on which entirely new communities will be built — tell a different story of geographic ambition. Some 33,700 homes, or 38% of future housing, are planned mostly at Palmview, Caloundra South, and Beerwah East. Beerwah East in particular represents one of the more significant land release decisions in the region’s recent history, identified by the State Government as a future growth area and referenced in the SEQ Regional Plan as a priority development area for longer-term population accommodation.
The logic of directing expansion inland and westward, rather than further along the coast, reflects a decades-long effort to preserve the regional character of the areas separating the Sunshine Coast from Greater Brisbane. The Regional Inter-urban Break is a major green space that defines the Sunshine Coast from the Greater Brisbane area, extending south of Caloundra and Beerwah to Donnybrook and Ningi in Moreton Bay and west to the Glass House Mountains, and includes the National Heritage-listed Glass House Mountains and the internationally recognised Ramsar-protected Pumicestone Passage. Just over half of the inter-urban break is National Parks, State Forests, and forest reserves.
Securing and protecting the Regional Inter-Urban Break and Sub-regional Inter-Urban Breaks in perpetuity — to frame neighbourhoods, secure environmental, production and recreation values, and strengthen the identity of the region as a community of communities — is a core strategic commitment of the council’s Environment and Liveability Strategy. Council strongly supports the enhanced recognition and protection afforded to the Northern Inter-urban Break in ShapingSEQ 2023.
MAROOCHYDORE: A NEW CBD BUILT FROM SCRATCH.
Within the consolidation areas, the most visible planning project is also the most ambitious: the Maroochydore City Centre, a greenfield central business district being built on former golf course land at the region’s geographic heart. Maroochydore City Centre was declared a Priority Development Area in July 2013 by the Queensland Government to streamline the planning, approval and development processes to accelerate development with a focus on economic growth.
It is the first greenfield CBD project in Australia in over a century, the last being Canberra in 1913. The emerging Maroochydore CBD aims to be Australia’s first truly smart city, just fifteen minutes from the Sunshine Coast Airport and twenty milliseconds from Asia via the international broadband submarine cable; it is master-planned from the ground up, with almost 18 hectares of parklands and waterways.
Over the next 15 to 20 years, the centre is planned to accommodate 10,000 residents, 4,000 new apartments, 240,000 square metres of commercial and retail space, a 6.5-hectare waterway, and more than 10 hectares of parklands. It is also planned to serve as the Sunshine Coast’s Olympic village for the Brisbane 2032 Games, adding a further civic and international dimension to its development trajectory.
The project is governed through a partnership between Sunshine Coast Council, SunCentral Maroochydore Pty Ltd, and Walker Corporation, which entered into a development agreement in November 2020. The Maroochydore City Centre project was recognised with the Strategic Planning Project Award for Excellence at the Queensland Awards for Planning Excellence, hosted by the Planning Institute of Australia. The Planning Institute praised the project as exemplifying “the innovation, collaboration, and long-term thinking key to good planning and creating great places for people.”
The emergence of a true city centre for the Sunshine Coast is not merely a real estate project. It represents a spatial restructuring of the region — an attempt to give a polycentric coastal strip something it has historically lacked: a concentrated urban core capable of generating the agglomeration economies, civic institutions, and transit connections that define a functioning city. Whether the centre achieves that ambition will depend substantially on the transport infrastructure being planned to connect it to the rest of the region and to South East Queensland more broadly.
THE WAVE: TRANSPORT AS THE SPINE OF GROWTH.
No planning instrument shapes the distribution of growth more powerfully than transport infrastructure. The proposed housing densification along the Sunshine Coast’s coastal corridor is premised on the delivery of a mass transit system capable of making those denser areas liveable and connected. Without it, the planning logic of the consolidation strategy is difficult to sustain.
The Maroochydore railway line — first proposed as the CAMCOS study (Caloundra and Maroochydore Corridor Options Study), and now branded as The Wave — is a preserved corridor and planned rail connection that has been identified as an integral transport project since the mid-1990s. After decades of study, deferral, and incremental commitment, the project reached a critical milestone in 2024 when federal and state funding was jointly committed. A total of $5.5 billion was secured from state and federal governments; the Direct Sunshine Coast Rail Line’s first stage will be 19 kilometres long, from Beerwah to Caloundra.
In March 2025, the Queensland State Government, as part of its 100-day Olympic review, announced its commitment to The Wave — heavy rail from Beerwah to Birtinya and then Bus Rapid Transit from Birtinya to Maroochydore and on to the Sunshine Coast Airport via the CAMCOS corridor. Construction on the first stage to Caloundra is set to begin in 2026, with further rail connections to follow after the Olympics.
The initial priority segment, connecting Maroochydore to the Sunshine Coast University Hospital at Birtinya, was identified as most critical because that stretch contains the Sunshine Coast’s greatest concentration of population, jobs, facilities and services, and is already experiencing growing traffic congestion. The transit project is not only an infrastructure commitment; it is the physical precondition for the planning scheme’s consolidation strategy. A mass transit system can help manage the effects of growth by providing an alternative, sustainable mode of travel that is frequent, reliable, convenient, and comfortable, and can reduce dependence on private car travel.
The relationship between transit planning and land use planning here is more explicit than in most regional planning contexts. The proposed planning scheme directly references a rapid transit system along the coastal corridor as a structuring element of the urban form being proposed, and community groups have rightly observed that zoning decisions premised on transit access that does not yet exist carry inherent risks. The planning process will need to navigate the sequencing between these commitments carefully.
ENVIRONMENT AS PLANNING INSTRUMENT: THE BIOSPHERE, BLUE HEART, AND GREEN FRAME.
What distinguishes the Sunshine Coast’s planning framework from many fast-growing Australian regions is the seriousness with which environmental values have been inscribed into the governance architecture, not merely as constraints on development but as affirmative civic commitments. This reflects both the community’s expressed values and a recognition that the region’s environmental qualities are themselves an economic and social asset that planning must actively protect.
The Sunshine Coast local government area was officially designated a UNESCO Biosphere in June 2022, recognised internationally as a site of excellence — an area of natural beauty where responsible development, and people living, learning, working and playing sustainably, sit alongside active conservation. The biosphere reserve is home to two First Nations, the Kabi Kabi and Jinibara peoples, and sustains a highly valued natural environment and rich biodiversity, particularly in 2,585 square kilometres of terrestrial and marine protected areas.
The biosphere designation is not primarily a planning instrument, but it shapes the normative context within which planning decisions are made. A region that holds UNESCO recognition for sustainable development is at least publicly accountable to that standard in its land use choices. The relationship between the biosphere commitment and the planning scheme’s densification proposals remains one of the more interesting tensions in contemporary Sunshine Coast governance.
The Blue Heart Sunshine Coast is a Transformational Action for Council’s Environment and Liveability Strategy, delivering a healthy environment and liveable Sunshine Coast horizon to 2041. It is an innovative partnership between Council, the Kabi Kabi Peoples Aboriginal Corporation, the Queensland Government’s Department of Environment, Tourism, Science and Innovation, and Unitywater. The Blue Heart encompasses a significant area of low-lying floodplain and coastal wetland in the lower Mooloolah River area, a place of ecological and cultural significance being managed for environmental restoration, blue carbon sequestration, and flood resilience simultaneously.
It is the first Blue Carbon project in Australia registered to generate Australian Carbon Credit Units. The involvement of the Kabi Kabi Peoples Aboriginal Corporation in the Blue Heart governance structure reflects a broader pattern in the Sunshine Coast’s planning approach: First Nations Traditional Custodians, the Kabi Kabi peoples, have been involved in ecological restoration projects in the Blue Heart and were present to witness the rewetting of the land and safeguard First Nations cultural heritage on the site.
Council’s Environment and Liveability Strategy, which runs alongside the new planning scheme as one of three long-term regional strategies, sets out a 2041 vision in which the distinctive natural landscape and character of the internationally recognised Sunshine Coast Biosphere has been retained, the green inter-urban break is preserved, and the rich biodiversity, pristine waterways and beaches and the majestic Glass House Mountains remain as defining features. That is the aspiration against which planning decisions must ultimately be measured.
COMMUNITY VOICE AND THE LIMITS OF CONSULTATION.
The Sunshine Coast’s planning processes have been notable for their scale of community engagement, and equally notable for the tensions that engagement has revealed. The preliminary consultation in 2022 attracted over 8,000 participants, described by Council as its “largest and most successful engagement project.” The formal consultation on the proposed planning scheme in mid-2025 generated around 4,600 formal submissions. These are substantial numbers by any standard of Australian local government engagement.
What the submissions revealed, however, was a community with genuinely divided views on the form that growth should take. Protecting the natural environment, maintaining unique character, addressing public transport, traffic and parking, improving development outcomes, and housing affordability are all identified as important — but these priorities do not always point in the same direction. A community that wants housing affordability and housing choice must, to some degree, accept density. A community that wants to protect neighbourhood character and building heights must accept that doing so has costs for housing supply.
Reports on future housing demand suggest that while the majority of dwellings are currently single detached houses, housing types will be more diverse by 2041, with greater demand for semi-attached and attached housing to provide more affordable options, preferably located close to public transport and major centres. This is a structural shift in the nature of housing on the Sunshine Coast, and the proposed planning scheme attempts to give it spatial form.
Careful planning and delivery around population change is important, as it has the potential to adversely impact natural and built environments and liveability; if managed well, increased population also provides opportunities to improve the shape of urban form and increase access to services and facilities. This is the core proposition that the planning process must validate — that growth, managed well, can improve rather than diminish the region’s quality of life. It is a proposition that requires conviction, institutional capacity, and sustained community trust to make credible.
THE REGIONAL ECONOMY AS PLANNING CONTEXT.
Planning for growth does not occur in a demographic vacuum. The Sunshine Coast’s planning framework is shaped by and shapes the region’s economic trajectory. The region grew from a $13.8 billion economy in 2013 to an economy worth $26.33 billion in 2024. The updated Regional Economic Development Strategy provides a program of action over the 2023–2028 period to drive further progress towards delivering a continued strong, new economy for the Sunshine Coast region to 2033.
The planning scheme must accommodate not only residential growth but the commercial, industrial, and institutional uses that a diversifying regional economy requires. Since the late 1990s, growth has generated notable investments in region-shaping projects including the international runway at the Sunshine Coast Airport, the University of the Sunshine Coast, Sunshine Coast Stadium, and the Sunshine Coast University Hospital, as well as newer investments such as the Maroochydore City Centre, the international submarine broadband cable, and the Sunshine Coast solar farm. Each of these investments has planning implications — generating employment, attracting further growth, and creating the infrastructure dependencies that shape future land use.
The Enterprise Corridor between Kawana and Caloundra has been identified as a priority location for employment-generating development, intended to reduce the historically high rates of out-commuting from the region to Brisbane. Creating jobs within the Sunshine Coast reduces the transport demand that has long been one of the region’s chronic infrastructure problems, and is itself a planning objective of the new scheme.
A PERMANENT ADDRESS FOR PLANNING AT SCALE.
Governing a region as large, diverse, and rapidly changing as the Sunshine Coast requires not just plans but legibility — the ability for institutions, communities, and civic actors to find, understand, and engage with the structures that govern their place. As that region builds out its onchain civic layer, the namespace sunshinecoast.queensland functions as the permanent digital address for this planning identity: a place where the region’s governance, strategy documents, community commitments, and spatial logic can be anchored in a form that persists across changes of government, council, and administration.
This matters for planning specifically because planning documents have long timelines but fragile institutional memory. The Sunshine Coast Planning Scheme 2014 is currently being replaced after barely a decade. The strategies, community consultations, state interest reviews, and infrastructure commitments documented across this planning cycle deserve a stable address. The civic infrastructure that makes growth legible — that connects residents to their planning scheme, researchers to their datasets, future citizens to the decisions made today — is itself a form of planning for permanence.
The scale of the challenge ahead is clear. The Sunshine Coast’s population is forecast to grow from approximately 375,300 residents in 2024 to 565,700 residents by 2046, representing about 10% of South East Queensland’s total forecast population growth to 2046. Accommodating that growth while preserving the environmental qualities that anchor the region’s identity, building the transport infrastructure that makes consolidation viable, creating the civic institutions that give a diverse new population common purpose, and honouring the enduring custodianship of the Kabi Kabi and Jinibara peoples on whose Country all of this planning unfolds — that is the civic work of the next two decades.
It is work that will be judged not by the ambition of the plans themselves, but by the fidelity of their implementation and the honesty of the trade-offs they make. The Sunshine Coast has the strategic frameworks, the community engagement history, and the institutional partnerships to manage this transition well. Whether it does so is a matter of sustained political will, adequate resourcing, and the willingness to hold difficult lines when the pressures of growth bear down on the values the plans were written to protect.
The governance of that work — the decisions, the trade-offs, the consultations, the outcomes — belongs to a civic record that outlasts any single administration. In the onchain layer being built for Queensland’s regions, sunshinecoast.queensland is where that record finds its permanent civic address: a foundation for the institutional memory a fast-growing region cannot afford to lose.
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